Senate Panel Report in The Hague: Duterte’s Alibi or Imee Marcos’ Revenge Plot?

By Louis ‘Barok‘ C. Biraogo — July 8, 2025


LIKE a fading action star dodging extradition by citing a typo in his arrest warrant, Rodrigo Duterte’s legal team is throwing every trick in the book to stall the International Criminal Court (ICC). The former Philippine president, accused of orchestrating a murderous “war on drugs,” is clutching a Senate report like a life raft, hoping it’ll float him to interim release. Spoiler alert: this script’s got more holes than a Manila traffic jam.

With defense counsel Nicholas Kaufman playing legal Houdini, the stage is set for a high-stakes clash of sovereignty, jurisdiction, and political vendettas. Let’s dissect this geopolitical true crime saga with the precision of a SCOTUS clerk and the venom of a late-night satirist.


Jurisdictional Jiu-Jitsu: Kaufman vs. the Rome Statute

Duterte’s team swings hard with the “sovereignty” bat, claiming his arrest was an unconstitutional kidnapping that voids ICC jurisdiction. It’s a bold move, like arguing your speeding ticket is invalid because the cop’s radar gun wasn’t patriotic enough.

The Rome Statute isn’t here for the theatrics. Article 12 grants the ICC jurisdiction over crimes committed on a state party’s territory, which the Philippines was from 2011 to 2019—squarely covering Duterte’s alleged crimes against humanity under Article 7. The defense’s attempt to dodge this with the Philippines’ 2019 withdrawal is like trying to unring a bell. Article 127(2) explicitly retains ICC jurisdiction over pre-withdrawal crimes, a point hammered in the Situation in the Philippines ruling (ICC Official Website). Kaufman’s sovereignty gambit? Dead on arrival.

Then there’s the complementarity principle under Article 17, allowing ICC intervention when national courts are unwilling or unable to prosecute. The Philippines’ track record—zero convictions for Duterte’s estimated 6,000–30,000 extrajudicial killings—makes this a slam dunk for the prosecution. Human rights groups like Human Rights Watch argue Manila’s courts are as effective as a screen door on a submarine.

The ICC’s Al-Bashir precedent (ICC Appeals Chamber, 2019) obliterates head-of-state immunity claims, ruling that international law doesn’t hand despots a get-out-of-jail-free card. Kaufman’s jurisdictional arguments aren’t just weak—they’re legal fan fiction rejected by the court’s editors.


The Senate Report: Political Grenade or Damp Squib?

Enter the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations report, chaired by Duterte’s ally and Marcos family outlier, Senator Imee Marcos. This 10-page document is less a legal treatise than a political Molotov cocktail lobbed into the Marcos-Duterte feud.

Kaufman touts it as proof that Duterte’s arrest was an unconstitutional “extraordinary rendition,” orchestrated by a “whole-of-government effort to bring down the Dutertes.” But let’s be real: a Senate probe led by Imee Marcos has the impartiality of a fox guarding the henhouse.

The report’s claim of “glaring violations” in Duterte’s March 11, 2025, arrest—no domestic warrant, sketchy Interpol procedures—sounds damning until you realize it’s a public document Kaufman initially pretended was “conveniently missing” (Rappler, May 2, 2025). Nothing screams “good faith” like misrepresenting evidence to the court.

The report’s legal weight is flimsier than a campaign promise. It leans on Philippine constitutional clauses (1987 Constitution, Article III, Section 2) and RA 9851, requiring treaty-based obligations for ICC cooperation. But the ICC doesn’t care about Manila’s paperwork. The Situation in the State of Palestine (ICC Pre-Trial Chamber, 2021) clarified that domestic procedural gripes don’t negate ICC jurisdiction.

The Senate report might stir domestic outrage, but in The Hague, it’s as relevant as a Yelp review. And the political subtext? It’s less about justice and more about Imee Marcos lobbing shade at her brother’s administration, a family drama juicier than a telenovela but legally irrelevant.


Interim Release: Flight Risk or Flight of Fancy?

Kaufman’s bid for Duterte’s interim release under Article 60 is a masterclass in optimism. He argues Duterte isn’t a flight risk, citing a mysterious “third-country sanctuary” willing to host him (Rappler, June 12, 2025). Sure, and I’ve got a bridge in Davao to sell you.

The prosecution counters with Duterte’s own words—his 2025 pledge to “double the killings” if re-elected (ABS-CBN News, June 24, 2025). When your client’s campaign slogan sounds like a threat from a Bond villain, arguing he’s a model detainee is a tough sell.

Article 58(1)(b) prioritizes detention if there’s a risk of flight or obstruction, and Duterte’s history of flouting legal norms doesn’t scream “cooperative.” The “third-country” pitch is a classic dictator’s getaway plan—think Pinochet chilling in Chile or Noriega dodging Panama. The ICC isn’t naive; they know a safe haven hostile to extradition is a one-way ticket to impunity.

Human rights groups like CATW-AP warn that releasing Duterte could endanger witnesses, given his alleged role in a killing spree that left thousands dead (GMA News Online, 2025). Kaufman’s humanitarian plea—Duterte’s age (79)—might tug at heartstrings, but the ICC’s more concerned with his ability to board a private jet than his birthday candles.


Precedent Autopsy: Lessons from the ICC’s Playbook

The ICC’s track record on interim release offers a mixed bag. In Paul Gicheru (ICC, January 29, 2021), the court granted release to a cooperative defendant with strong state assurances. Contrast that with Jean-Pierre Bemba (ICC, 2008), where release was denied due to flight risk and influence. The ICC prefers defendants who don’t threaten witnesses via YouTube rants.

Duterte’s public bravado and political clout lean closer to Bemba than Gicheru. And let’s not forget Nuremberg: the “I was following domestic law” defense didn’t save war criminals then, and it won’t save Duterte now. The Al-Bashir ruling (ICC, 2019) cements that international law trumps local excuses.


Recommendations with Teeth

Pre-Trial Chamber I should treat the Senate report like a law student’s plagiarized essay—intriguing but inadmissible. Its political stench and lack of legal heft make it a distraction, not evidence.

The ICC needs to issue a ruling so airtight it shuts down future “sovereignty” pantomimes by other strongmen. A clear denial of interim release, citing Duterte’s flight risk and obstruction potential, would reinforce the court’s spine.

For the Philippines, a reality check: if you don’t want the ICC meddling, maybe prosecute your own death squads next time. The Pangilinan v. Cayetano case (G.R. No. 238875, 2021) exposed Manila’s judicial inertia—don’t cry foul when the ICC fills the void.


Closing: The ICC’s Long Memory

Duterte’s team banks on legal loopholes and political noise to delay the inevitable. Kaufman’s arguments are as constitutional as a dictatorship’s press freedom, and the Senate report is a sideshow in a circus of accountability.

Whether Duterte walks or rots, this case proves one thing: the ICC might move slower than a Manila traffic jam, but its memory is longer than Duterte’s rap sheet. The September 23, 2025, confirmation of charges hearing will decide if justice catches up—or if the former president slips away, laughing all the way to a third-country hideout.

Stay tuned, because this legal thriller’s just getting started.


Key Citations


Disclaimer: This is legal jazz, not gospel. It’s all about interpretation, not absolutes. So, listen closely, but don’t take it as the final word.


Louis ‘Barok‘ C. Biraogo

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