Featuring the World-Famous “I Don’t Know But I’m 100% Sure” Illusion
By Louis ‘Barok‘ C. Biraogo — November 26, 2025
1. “Trust Me Bro, There’s a Video” – Defensor’s One-Man Theater of the Absurd
Former Anakalusagan party-list representative Mike Defensor went on radio and declared that Orly Guteza — the surprise Senate witness who swore he delivered trash bags full of kickbacks to former Speaker Martin Romualdez and former Ako Bicol Rep. Zaldy Co — has been forced to recant. There’s a new affidavit. There’s a video. Guteza supposedly now accuses Defensor and Sen. Rodante Marcoleta of bribing him.
And where is this explosive evidence? Somewhere over the rainbow, apparently. Defensor’s greatest hits:
- “I don’t know who pressured him.”
- “I don’t know where he is now.”
- “Last I heard, Marine intelligence had him” → Philippine Navy: “Fake news.”
- “I personally hid his family for their safety.”
So the same man screaming “witness tampering!” is… tampering with the witness’s family. The irony could power Luzon for a week.

2. Legal Autopsy: Everyone’s Guilty of Something, Nobody’s Innocent of Anything
Here’s what the Revised Penal Code (RPC) has to say while sipping coffee and laughing at all of us:
- Orly Guteza → Potential Perjury (Art. 183, RPC) and Falsification by private individual (Art. 172, RPC) because the Manila RTC already found the original affidavit’s notarization was falsified.
- Defensor / Marcoleta / handlers → Subornation of perjury (Art. 184), Obstruction of Justice (Presidential Decree 1829), possible conspiracy.
- Whoever actually coerced the alleged recantation → Same menu + grave coercion.
- Romualdez & Co (if original testimony survives) → Plunder (Republic Act 7080), Anti-Graft and Corrupt Practices Act (RA 3019).
And the Supreme Court has been crystal clear for decades: recantations are treated like the drunk uncle at a wedding — with “utmost suspicion” and “extreme caution.” Mere recantation does not automatically erase prior sworn testimony (People v. Court of Appeals, G.R. No. 198338, 2013; People v. Lao Wan Sing. G.R. No. L-16379, 1966). A forged notarization, meanwhile, is governed by the 2004 Rules on Notarial Practice (A.M. No. 02-8-13-SC) — and it turns the entire document into legal toilet paper.
3. Follow the Cowardice: Who Wins When a Witness Disappears?
- Defensor gets to play hero while controlling the narrative.
- Romualdez gets reasonable doubt gift-wrapped.
- The Senate Blue Ribbon Committee gets turned into a Netflix true-crime mockery.
- The Filipino people get another lesson that testifying against the powerful is a one-way ticket to the witness-protection shadow realm — or worse.
4. Institutional Roadkill: Another Corpse on the Highway of Public Trust
Every vanished witness is a tombstone that reads: “Here lies faith in Philippine institutions.”
The Office of the Ombudsman (RA 6770) looks catatonic.
The Department of Justice Witness Protection Program (RA 6981) is apparently on eternal coffee break.
And future whistleblowers are taking notes: keep your mouth shut or prepare to star in the next season of Disappearing Witnesses PH.
5. Prescription from the Cave: No More Magic Tricks
Mike Defensor has 48 hours to produce:
- The original “recantation” affidavit (not a photocopy of a rumor)
- The mythical video with verifiable chain of custody
- Orly Guteza in the flesh, under oath, before the Senate or the Ombudsman
Fail to do so → brand him what he is: a purveyor of political fan-fiction.
Immediate actions required:
- National Bureau of Investigation takeover of the tampering/falsification probe
- Senate contempt citations for everyone playing hide-and-seek
- Formal activation of the Witness Protection, Security and Benefit Act (RA 6981) so witnesses stop vanishing into Defensor’s private safe houses
- Ombudsman preliminary investigation on plunder — yesterday
This is no longer politics.
This is corruption, cowardice, and chaos served neat with a forged notary seal on top.
The only cure is daylight, subpoenas, and handcuffs — no matter how high the names go.
No mercy. No anesthesia.
Key Citations
Primary News Source
- Casilao, Joahna Lei. “Mike Defensor Claims Orly Guteza Made to Recant Testimony on Flood Control Projects.” GMA News Online, 19 Nov. 2025.
- Rita, Joviland. “PH Navy Denies Orly Guteza Illegally Held by Marines.” GMA News Online, 18 Nov. 2025, 2:25 p.m..
Primary Legal Sources
- Philippines. Act No. 3815, Revised Penal Code of the Philippines. 8 Dec. 1930. Official Gazette.
- Philippines. Republic Act No. 7080, An Act Defining and Penalizing the Crime of Plunder. 12 July 1991. Official Gazette.
- Philippines. Republic Act No. 3019, Anti-Graft and Corrupt Practices Act. 19 Aug. 1960. Official Gazette.
- Presidential Decree No. 1829: Penalizing Obstruction of Apprehension and Prosecution of Criminal Offenders. Philippines, 16 Jan. 1981. LawPhil.
- Philippines. Republic Act No. 6770, The Ombudsman Act of 1989. 17 Nov. 1989. Official Gazette.
- Philippines. Republic Act No. 6981, Witness Protection, Security and Benefit Act. 26 Sept. 1991. Official Gazette.
- 2004 Rules on Notarial Practice. A.M. No. 02-8-13-SC, Supreme Court of the Philippines, 19 July 2004. Supreme Court of the Philippines.
- People of the Philippines v. P/Supt. Artemio E. Lamsen, PO2 Anthony D. Abulencia, and SPO1 Wilfredo L. Ramos. G.R. No. 198338, Supreme Court of the Philippines, 13 Nov. 2013. LawPhil.
- People of the Philippines v. Lao Wan Sing alias Co Tiok alias Wasing. G.R. No. L-16379, Supreme Court of the Philippines, 17 Dec. 1966. LawPhil.

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