The recent revelations regarding the alleged “gentlemen’s agreement” between the Philippines and China over the Ren’ai Jiao issue highlight the fragility of informal diplomatic arrangements in addressing complex territorial disputes. Despite assertions by former President Duterte and Chinese officials regarding an understanding to maintain the status quo at Ayungin Shoal, such agreements lack the legal and binding mechanisms necessary for ensuring long-term stability and resolution.

First and foremost, the reliance on verbal agreements, as opposed to formal treaties or international legal frameworks, leaves significant room for ambiguity and misinterpretation. Without clear delineation of rights, responsibilities, and consequences, such agreements are susceptible to shifting political dynamics and divergent interpretations over time. The absence of written documentation also undermines transparency and accountability, making it difficult to hold parties accountable for their commitments.

Moreover, the Ren’ai Jiao issue underscores the inherent limitations of bilateral negotiations in addressing multilateral disputes. While bilateral discussions may temporarily alleviate tensions between two parties, they often fail to address the broader geopolitical complexities and competing claims involving multiple stakeholders. In the case of the South China Sea, overlapping territorial claims by various countries necessitate a comprehensive and inclusive approach that involves all relevant actors and international governing bodies.

The disregard for international legal principles, such as the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea (DOC), further exacerbates the situation. The violation of agreements aimed at de-escalating tensions and promoting peaceful coexistence undermines trust and perpetuates a cycle of mistrust and confrontation. By flouting established norms and principles, parties risk escalating conflicts and undermining regional stability.

To address the Ren’ai Jiao controversy and similar disputes in the South China Sea, a diplomatic solution under the auspices of international governing bodies is imperative. Organizations such as the United Nations and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) play a crucial role in facilitating dialogue, promoting adherence to international law, and fostering multilateral cooperation. By engaging in multilateral negotiations and upholding the rule of law, parties can work towards sustainable solutions that uphold the rights and interests of all stakeholders.

In conclusion, the reliance on gentlemen’s agreements as a means of addressing territorial disputes is inherently flawed and insufficient. To achieve lasting peace and stability in the South China Sea, it is imperative to pursue diplomatic resolutions under the sponsorship of international governing bodies. By adhering to established legal frameworks, promoting transparency and accountability, and fostering multilateral cooperation, parties can work towards resolving conflicts and building a more secure future for the region.